Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002200 0.002323 0.002454 0.002604 0.002771 0.002954 0.003169
2025-02-16 0.002007 0.002177 0.002366 0.002595 0.002868 0.003188 0.003600
2025-02-23 0.001908 0.002113 0.002351 0.002653 0.003035 0.003513 0.004183
2025-03-02 0.001792 0.002013 0.002277 0.002623 0.003080 0.003684 0.004595
2025-03-09 0.001687 0.001915 0.002193 0.002567 0.003078 0.003785 0.004920
2025-03-16 0.001643 0.001887 0.002192 0.002614 0.003214 0.004092 0.005622
2025-03-23 0.001601 0.001857 0.002183 0.002648 0.003332 0.004388 0.006387
2025-03-30 0.001541 0.001800 0.002135 0.002621 0.003356 0.004535 0.006925
2025-04-06 0.001474 0.001729 0.002063 0.002553 0.003308 0.004555 0.007213
2025-04-13 0.001426 0.001682 0.002020 0.002523 0.003317 0.004670 0.007744
2025-04-20 0.001349 0.001593 0.001915 0.002396 0.003158 0.004465 0.007470
2025-04-27 0.001319 0.001566 0.001894 0.002394 0.003201 0.004636 0.008177
2025-05-04 0.001305 0.001560 0.001905 0.002442 0.003339 0.005026 0.009722
2025-05-11 0.001277 0.001535 0.001888 0.002446 0.003403 0.005285 0.011109
2025-05-18 0.001266 0.001533 0.001904 0.002503 0.003568 0.005802 0.014002
2025-05-25 0.001233 0.001498 0.001870 0.002477 0.003577 0.005966 0.015703
2025-06-01 0.001196 0.001456 0.001824 0.002428 0.003535 0.005999 0.016824
2025-06-08 0.001185 0.001452 0.001833 0.002470 0.003677 0.006537 0.022304
2025-06-15 0.001172 0.001443 0.001834 0.002500 0.003798 0.007067 0.030579
2025-06-22 0.001147 0.001416 0.001806 0.002476 0.003803 0.007261 0.037011
2025-06-29 0.001114 0.001376 0.001757 0.002415 0.003723 0.007173 0.039010
2025-07-06 0.001091 0.001350 0.001729 0.002388 0.003716 0.007319 0.047478
2025-07-13 0.001047 0.001294 0.001653 0.002273 0.003507 0.006771 0.037354